What Bonds Do When No One Is Watching

Stocks dropped 10% over a four-week period in February and March. As is usually the case, the performance of bonds didn’t capture quite as many headlines. But their behavior as equities sank is worth examining – especially by investors who don’t know about the benefits of distressed bonds.

Fund Manager Follies

Mutual fund cash levels have historically been one of the best contrarian indicators of where the market is headed… one that’s still well worth tracking today. And right now, asset managers are holding their lowest levels of cash in history – meaning they think the market is headed higher.

A Possible Turning Point For Distressed Debt

Tight credit isn’t the only factor driving the Distress Ratio’s rise and fall. But it’s a powerful one that’s likely to keep making it harder for struggling companies to refinance their maturing debt in coming months. It all adds up to a likelihood that distressed-debt investors will have a significantly wider array of bonds to choose from before very long.