The large amount of refinancing and purchase activity that took place during the COVID boom means existing homeowners are unlikely to add supply to the market. Interest rate hikes slowed down one part of the housing market, but they’re creating a tailwind for another…
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Could you make a fortune buying into the AI boom today? Perhaps. We would rather own a world-beating business in a sector that is uniquely underappreciated by investors. In this issue, we recommend one of the highest-quality businesses ever created.
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The real federal funds rate (interest rates minus CPI) recently turned positive. It should expand more by year’s end. That has historically preceded big rallies in technology stocks.
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In our view, the distress ratio is likely to double or triple from its current level by late 2023 or early 2024. And that means a crop of new distressed opportunities will soon arise.
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Tesla’s rivals have been investing heavily in their own EV production and are now, for the first time, challenging the company in quality, innovation, and performance. This means that Tesla is now staring down a threat unlike any it has seen before.
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Speculator short positioning in stocks has reached an extreme. They’re all piled into the same negative bets. Before long, those same investors will rush for the exit, creating a scramble to buy back stock.
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If the Federal Reserve is ending rate hikes, that means we’re reaching peak interest rates. And if you’re a bond investor, that’s a huge deal… because, if the coupon payment on sovereign debt isn’t going higher, soon you won’t be able to lock in today’s high yield.
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Unless central banks and policymakers are willing to deal with a major credit crash, all roads lead back to lower interest rates and more money printing. That’s why we believe now is the time to safeguard your wealth from the demise of fiat currencies with the two ultimate stores of value.
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