Distress Exists Even When the Market Booms
Financial distress persists even when the S&P 500 and other indications seem to be emphatically signaling prosperity – and why this could mean more opportunities to earn excellent returns in coming months.
Financial distress persists even when the S&P 500 and other indications seem to be emphatically signaling prosperity – and why this could mean more opportunities to earn excellent returns in coming months.
The distressed-bond universe exhibits a rare market condition that in the past has produced an average annual return of 73%. On the face of it, as we discuss in this issue, this condition could prove to be an excellent time to be buying distressed debt.
In this issue, we recommend the stock and bond of a company that has moved itself from a financially precarious position to a secure one… but the market doesn’t yet appreciate this new reality.
Owing to an oversupply of office space, the bond price of this commercial real estate company has declined as if a bankruptcy is likely. In this issue, we will show you why we think the bonds are worth more than that – possibly much more.
We have found one bond among more than a dozen issued by these two newly merged companies that we consider well very protected from the financial perils that the new company might experience. And because of this, it has an extra high yield, which can lead to extra high profits.
In the midst of the market tumult and a broken merger, this company’s bonds felt a sharp decline in price. For analyst Martin Fridson this distress has created a very appealing new opportunity.
This issue features of one of the largest and best-known online education companies in the world. The bonds declined 75% from their highs as the business stagnated in 2023 but now offer good value. As we detail in the analysis, these are speculative bonds with a meaningful chance of gain, a possibility of bankruptcy, and a real chance of loss.
The issue will feature a prominent U.S. airline whose bonds trade at a steep discount. It’s a company with nearly 25 years of success and an industry-best customer-service record. Plus, we include an equity that provides some downside protection and lots of upside.
In this issue, we’ll examine one of the few solid internet companies that escaped the dot-com carnage. This online merchandiser has a capital efficient business model and almost 10 years of impressive growth, making this bond a bargain at the right price.
Speculators are betting heavily against the price of 10-year U.S. Treasuries. It’s the second-largest short position since the CFTC began keeping records in 1992. History tells us this type of extreme positioning means bond prices are headed higher…