A Fire Sale At QVC

In April, we recommended selling the bonds of this e-commerce business at $878 – which we had recommended buying four months earlier at $840. They have since fallen dramatically. In this report, we are recommending buying them back. And we explain why the price of the bonds has dropped and why we think it will rise again.

Looking For Funding In All The Wrong Places

Distressed-bond veteran Marty Fridson shares that you can reduce the risk of winding up on the wrong side of a trade by stepping back from the financial minutiae and the technical charts. Start by making certain the company is in a reasonably stable competitive environment.

Beware The Siren Song Of Non-Cyclicality

Distressed-debt recommendations don’t rely on stories about immunity to recession that may turn out to be fairy tales. No. Instead the Distressed Investing team rolls up their sleeves, gets their hands dirty, and invokes a couple of more clichés that describe rigorous analysis of companies’ financial leverage, maturity schedules, liquidity sources, and cash flows.

A Possible Misery Index Renaissance

If the supply of distressed bonds increases, the prices of distressed bonds will likely decline. This suggests some bargains will become available for discerning, patient investors. We’ll be carefully looking over the distressed merchandise to generate profitable recommendations.

What Bonds Do When No One Is Watching

Stocks dropped 10% over a four-week period in February and March. As is usually the case, the performance of bonds didn’t capture quite as many headlines. But their behavior as equities sank is worth examining – especially by investors who don’t know about the benefits of distressed bonds.

A Possible Turning Point For Distressed Debt

Tight credit isn’t the only factor driving the Distress Ratio’s rise and fall. But it’s a powerful one that’s likely to keep making it harder for struggling companies to refinance their maturing debt in coming months. It all adds up to a likelihood that distressed-debt investors will have a significantly wider array of bonds to choose from before very long.