Trump’s Inflation Triggers

In his election-night speech following his resounding victory on November 5, President-elect Donald Trump expressed what would happen after he took office. So what has Trump promised to do, economically? In today’s Daily Journal, Erez Kalir focuses on three key pillars of his policy agenda: tariffs, immigration, and taxes.

Commercial Real Estate Looms As A Massive Market Risk

The heads are finally starting to roll in commercial real estate. And another $200 billion of office mortgages remain outstanding and will need to be refinanced before the end of 2026. This could turn out much worse than the subprime-lending fiasco from 2007.

Powell Gets Punched in the Mouth

In normal environments, the Fed is in sync with the market, so when the Fed cuts rates, long-term borrowing costs follow that path. But when the Fed does the wrong thing – long duration bonds like the 10-year U.S. Treasuries run screaming in the opposite direction. That seems to be the case now.

Melt-Up or Meltdown… This Is How to Prepare

Today we’re discussing how rate cuts and consumer weakness play out in the markets, what might happen, and how to prepare. What follows are hard-earned, actionable insights from Porter Stansberry, based on his 25 years of navigating markets.