When Ecstasy Turns To Agony

In looking at the distressed-bond market today, Marty Fridson suggests: Fasten your seatbelts. It’s going to get very bumpy. But investors who remain rational will profit extravagantly from the foreseeable disconnect between value and price in the lower-quality end of the corporate bond market.

Sell Alert: Cerence AI’s 1.5% Convertible Bond

In the Distressed Investing April 10 report, “Car Talk,” we recommended buying Cerence AI’s 1.5% convertible bond maturing July 1, 2028. Today, we recommend selling the bond. At the time of the recommendation, the bond was priced at $692, which equated to annual yield of 13.6%. We indicated that we thought it extremely unlikely that

Sell Alert: Shares of Green Plains

In the May 8 Distressed Investing report, “Cracking the Code,” we recommended the combined $1,000 purchase of one Green Plains 2.25% convertible bond, then trading at $774, and shares of Green Plain stock (Nasdaq: GPRE), then trading at $3.66. At the time this equated to one bond and 61.7 shares. Recently we recommended selling the

Sell Alert: Green Plains 2.25% Bond

In the May 9 Distressed Investing report “Cracking The Code,” we recommended purchasing Green Plains’ 2.25% bonds maturing March 15, 2027. We now recommend selling those bonds. In May, when we recommended them, the bonds were trading at $785, which equated to an annual return of just over 16%. We suggested pairing each bond with

Sell Alert: aTyr Pharma

Yesterday, aTyr Pharma (Nasdaq: ATYR) reported that its Phase 3 trial of efzofitimod in pulmonary sarcoidosis failed to meet its primary endpoint. The study’s results were doomed by a much higher-than-expected placebo effect, making it impossible for efzofitimod to attain the statistically significant differentiation relative to placebo needed for the trial’s success. Shares of aTyr

Sell Alert: Half Position Of Shares Of Green Plains

Yesterday, August 27, Green Plains (Nasdaq: GPRE) announced that it had agreed to sell its 120 million gallon per year ethanol plant in Obion, Tennessee, for $190 million. This equates to an impressive valuation of $1.58 per gallon of capacity. Shares of GPRE rose 12% to $11.18 per share following the news. We recommend selling half