Gold has yet to decisively break out in U.S. dollar terms (as it has in most other major currencies), but momentum remains positive for now (from Lyn Alden Investment Strategy)…

The firming up of the dollar index in January helped keep a ceiling on various dollar-sensitive assets, including gold which is now back in its rangebound pathway: I expect gold to eventually break out to the upside and likely have a sizable run when it does, but it has to perform that breakout first. Its

The fundamentals of the energy sector remain surprisingly strong today (from Kailash Capital Research)…

In [an earlier white paper], we noted that based on fundamentals, Energy and Tech looked surprisingly similar. We’ve updated the chart below and admit, tech has pulled ahead a bit. We discussed the potential risks from inflated Tech sales and profits due to vendor financing in Everything AI, a problem that simply can’t exist in

Bombshell report reveals that electric vehicles aren’t nearly as energy efficient as we’ve been led to believe (from The Wall Street Journal)…

It’s hard to think of a worse environmental scandal in recent years than Volkswagen’s 2015 diesel-emissions cheating. The German automaker was rightly pursued by regulators, enforcement agencies and class-action lawyers. The scandal ended up costing Volkswagen an estimated $33 billion in fines and financial settlements—and revealed that diesel-emissions cheating was endemic. In 2020 Daimler AG

This is what’s driving the big increase in U.S. oil production (from Bloomberg)…

In the early 2010s, US shale players were producing oil like crazy, with no concerns about profitability. Then the legs were kicked out from the industry, causing a massive bust, and massive oversupply. In 2021 and 2022, it looked like a very different story. Oil prices were surging and it seemed as though US players

The Great Convergence: Why natural-gas prices could soar in the months ahead (from Goehring & Rozencwajg Associates)…

North American natural gas is the cheapest energy molecule on the planet by as much as 75%. Over the next twelve months, we believe this discount could close entirely, boosting US gas prices as much as four-fold. As we go to print, Henry Hub gas costs $3.00 per mcf while European and Asian gas is

Commodities veteran: There’s “definitely a bullish case” for 2024 (from Bloomberg)…

Jeff Currie, who spearheaded commodities research at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. for almost three decades, remains bullish on the sector for this year. Demand for raw materials is at record levels, inventories are low, and spare production capacity is largely “exhausted,” the veteran analyst said in an interview with Bloomberg television. Copper, which drifted sideways