Aahan Menon – founder of Prometheus Research – shares his current macro outlook, including why he believes the massive upcoming wave of debt issuance is likely to be bearish for U.S. Treasury bonds (from the BlockWorks Forward Guidance podcast on August 30)…
00:00 Introduction 00:27 Progressing Through A Tightening Cycle 07:57 How To Measure Liquidity 15:51 A Wave Of U.S Treasury Issuance Is On The Horizon 24:09 Is The Fed Behind The Curve? 29:10 Inflation 38:25 Credit Is Contracting, Just Not Enough… Yet 43:17 When To Shift From Short Stocks & Bonds 50:44 Private vs Public Sector
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