What is the impact of the recent Fed pivot on consumers? (from The Daily Spark)…

Data covering the period after the Fed pivot shows that US consumers significantly changed their expectations to interest rates after the December FOMC meeting. Specifically, the share of consumers expecting interest rates to go down jumped to levels last seen during the pandemic and during the financial crisis in 2008, see chart below. With almost

U.S. consumer credit surpassed $5 trillion for the first time in November (from MarketWatch)…

The numbers: Total consumer credit rose $23.7 billion in November, up from a $5.8 billion increase in the prior month, the Federal Reserve said Monday. That translates into a 5.7% annual rate, up from a revised 1.4% rise in the prior month. That was the biggest gain since November 2022, and puts total consumer credit

Discover Financial Services could be a canary in the coal mine for the consumer credit markets (from Barron’s)…

Discover Financial Services stock tumbled 8% in early trading Thursday after the company missed earnings estimates and set aside more money to cover bad loans. Discover said its provision for credit losses was $1.9 billion in the fourth quarter, an increase of $1 billion from the previous year. The increase included a $305 million higher

A growing number of Americans are pulling money from their 401(k) plans to make ends meet (from CNN)…

The number of 401(k) plan participants taking hardship distributions increased by 13% between the second and third quarters, according to an analysis by Bank of America of its clients’ employee benefit programs. That figure now stands at 18,040, the highest level in at least the past five quarters since Bank of America started tracking this

Walmart warns of weakening consumer spending (from CNBC)…

Walmart on Thursday topped Wall Street’s fiscal third-quarter earnings estimates as sales rose, but the big-box retailer struck a cautious tone with its outlook after it saw consumer spending weaken at the end of the period. The company’s shares slid more than about 8% on Thursday after they touched an all-time high the previous day.