The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of the U.S. Treasury yield curve has never been this inverted without a severe recession following (from Ian Harnett via Twitter on July 5)…

Posted onJuly 27, 2023August 8, 2023AuthorPorter & Co.

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CategoriesInvestment Chronicles, The FiveTagsInvestment Chronicles

← Previous Previous post: The Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index (LEI) – which tracks a basket of indicators whose changes tend to precede changes in the real economy – also declined again in June, bringing its current “peak-to-trough” drawdown to -9.9%. Since 1960, contractions of this magnitude have only occurred when the economy was already in a recession (from Liz Ann Sonders via Twitter on July 21)…

Next → Next post: The LEI has also now contracted for 15 consecutive months, a streak that has only occurred twice before: during the severe recession of 1973-1974 and the Great Financial Crisis of 2007-2009 (from Liz Ann Sonders via Twitter on July 21)…

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