The Real Warning Signs Investors Are Ignoring

Over the last several years, the U.S. jobs market has gradually transitioned from red hot to lukewarm. But in the last several months, the labor market has gone from lukewarm to ice cold. In this issue, we look at five companies that we feel will be resilient to any economic downturn that might result from this.

Sell Alert: JetBlue Airways 0.5% convertible bonds maturing April 1, 2026

Today JetBlue Airways (Nasdaq: JBLU) announced a new round of cost cuts as travel demand remains sluggish. The company is reducing its schedule and ending service to certain markets. JetBlue CEO Joanna Geraghty indicated the company is unlikely to achieve its previously stated goal of a breakeven in operating margin this year. Since we recommended

A Biotech Blue Chip

Just as recombinant DNA unlocked a new era of drug-making, siRNA is now unlocking an era where we don’t just supplement biology – we command it. This month’s recommendation is a company that is category defining in its leadership of the siRNA – and a blue-chip biotech stock that should surge ahead as the industry falls back.

Beware The Siren Song Of Non-Cyclicality

Distressed-debt recommendations don’t rely on stories about immunity to recession that may turn out to be fairy tales. No. Instead the Distressed Investing team rolls up their sleeves, gets their hands dirty, and invokes a couple of more clichés that describe rigorous analysis of companies’ financial leverage, maturity schedules, liquidity sources, and cash flows.

Sell Alert: Hughes Satellite 5.25% 8/1/2026 Bond

EchoStar (Nasdaq: SATS) reported its results for the quarter ended March 31. The news pushed up our Hughes Satellite bonds to a price where we recommended selling.  Operating profit for the Hughes Satellite business – the business that issued the 5.25% secured bonds maturing August 1, 2026, in the Distressed Investing portfolio – rose 8.1%

Our Negative-EV Basket, Part II

Unlike in the first negative-EV biotech basket, editor Erez Kalir doesn’t anticipate having a Big Picture catalyst that causes our recommendations to rise in price. This time, the catalyst will come from the biotech sector itself: The advances emerging are as transformative as any in the history of biotech

A Possible Misery Index Renaissance

If the supply of distressed bonds increases, the prices of distressed bonds will likely decline. This suggests some bargains will become available for discerning, patient investors. We’ll be carefully looking over the distressed merchandise to generate profitable recommendations.

A Biotech Tipping Point

No discovery in the history of science has had a larger impact than that of monoclonal antibodies (“mAbs”) – the laboratory-made proteins that act like precision-guided cruise missiles, targeting a specific molecule in the body. Last year, five of the top 10 best-selling drugs in the world were mAbs, including the number-one best-seller Keytruda, Merck’s cancer therapy that did $29.5 billion in revenue.

Sell Alert: QVC 4.375% Bond Maturing 9/1/2028

In Distressed Investing’s December 2024 issue “Rising From The Ashes,” Marty Fridson and his team recommended buying QVC’s 4.375% bond maturing September 1, 2028, then at $840, up to a price of $860. The bonds currently trade for $878, up 4.5% from the entry price. We liked QVC’s business –- which had been improving –