A powerful case for energy as the “fat pitch” investment today (from Trader Ferg on June 10)…

Over the last decade of abundant energy, low inflation, and easy money, anything that could provide growth was priced to perfection hallucination. But then again, what did we expect handing out free money to a generation getting their financial advice from TickTok. My bet is the decade ahead will be the polar opposite, with scarce

A look at why Berkshire Hathaway is now investing in Japan (from Capital Flows and Assets on June 20)…

As discussed in recent posts, I don’t believe the mega trend has been a US or tech focused trend for the last 10 years. It has been a “private equitization” of the stock market trade – or share buy back trade. And the two best markets have been the markets that have embraced that trend

Deutsche Bank strategists predict how bad the coming credit default cycle is likely to get (from MarketWatch on May 31)…

Deutsche Bank strategists Jim Reid and Steve Caprio just wrote the bank’s annual default study, now in its 25th year. Last year’s, correctly, called for the end of the ultra-low default era, though the current numbers are certainly not terrible. The U.S. high-yield bond default rate through April rose to 2.1% from 1.1%, and U.S.

U.S. corporate bankruptcies continue to rise at their fastest pace since the Great Financial Crisis (from S&P Global Market Intelligence on June 6)…

US corporate bankruptcies crept higher in May over the prior month as higher interest rates and a slowing economy are pushing many companies over the edge. S&P Global Market Intelligence recorded 54 corporate bankruptcy filings during May, a slight rise from 52 April. In the first five months of the year, 2023 has recorded more