April 2023

The Federal Reserve’s aggressive interest-rate hikes are helping tame inflation—for now. But what if the pressures that sparked last year’s decades-high consumer price inflation stick around longer than expected? Morgan Stanley’s Global Investment Committee believes it’s important to remember that, despite the last 40 years of falling inflationary pressures in the U.S., the reversal of

The story in the stock market is big tech is imitating Icarus and the rest of the market is soiling the sheets. Non-professionals tend to watch the indexes and assume “That’s what the stock market is doing” but when a few stocks dominate an index, the index barely has meaning. Same thing when one sector

Stocks have managed to post solid gains so far this year. But beneath the surface, data suggests investors are still feeling nervous about the economic outlook, Strategas says in a research note. Gold, which investors usually turn to when they’re anticipating increased volatility, has run past copper, which typically rises when investors anticipate economic activity

Timing and predicting recessions is an important task, not only for traders looking to make a profit but also for policymakers looking to correctly time stimulus measures. Not many people are against government stimulus measures during difficult times, but the problem is that recessions are difficult to spot in real-time, and policymakers often provide help